| interesting, maybe, but stoopid, yes. Leaving aside a lot of other nonsense, 79% accuracy means the algorithm is less predictive than a consensus of threshold opinion by folks here would be. No one has trouble predicting 79% of the shows that succeed would succeed, or that 79% of those that fail would fail. Naive math will not illuminate the 21%. Also, there is no weight in the predictions, and every smart producer and investor knows that it is the weight that makes a difference in an industry where most shows fail. Pretty Woman may lose $17mil but a show that succeeds mightily will make many times that much. (Which is why investors keep at it.) Finally, of course, all movies are not equal, and most of the ones that have become successful shows are not the ones that are trying to exploit a well known brand. An awful lot of them fail, for reasons having nothing to do with a fucking algorithm. P.S. The only rule is that there are are no rules. |
