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re: And as I’ve stated before
Posted by: ryhog 09:30 pm EST 03/12/21
In reply to: And as I’ve stated before - dramedy 08:29 pm EST 03/12/21

I should probably know this :-) but how many shows do you consider your critical mass? I think there will be 20+ shows on Broadway in the Spring, and hopefully that's enough to get you here.
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Probably 3 or 4 that I really want to see
Posted by: dramedy 12:45 pm EST 03/13/21
In reply to: re: And as I’ve stated before - ryhog 09:30 pm EST 03/12/21

I doubt that there will be 20 new ones next spring. I think a lot of focus will be getting the old shows up and running. As for new ones, I think only flying over sunset, doubtfire and maybe sing street. Michael jackson and Britney Spears are a skip for me. I don’t like Caroline and I could care less about female version of 1776. None of the plays (revival or new) interest me so far. But maybe offbroadway will have something that peaks my curiosity.
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re: Probably 3 or 4 that I really want to see
Posted by: ryhog 12:59 pm EST 03/13/21
In reply to: Probably 3 or 4 that I really want to see - dramedy 12:45 pm EST 03/13/21

obviously too soon to tell but I am pretty convinced that we will see less old shows than people are anticipating. The market is going to consist largely of theatre-goers rather than casual theatre attendees, and the former really have little interest in seeing how shows they have already seen are holding up. I expect the season to have at least a dozen or so new offerings. But as I like to say repeatedly because it sounds so cool, I know nothing.
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What old shows wouldn’t?
Posted by: dramedy 02:07 pm EST 03/13/21
In reply to: re: Probably 3 or 4 that I really want to see - ryhog 12:59 pm EST 03/13/21

Of course this is all a guess

Pretty sure return
Wicked
Hamilton
Phantom (in some form)
Chicago
Lion king
Hadestown.

Probably
Hansen
Aladdin
Aint too proud

So that leaves
Mormon
Harry Potter (maybe revised as one play but wouldn’t be surprised if close)
Come from away (it was around break even like mean girls so maybe just take the insurance and close).
Mockingbird (Scott rudin is unpredictable)

And this years
Moulin rouge
Jagged little pill
Tina (might depend on Adrienne Warren schedule)

The first batch may not open in fall but wait until sometime in 2022 but won’t give up the theater.
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re: What old shows wouldn’t?
Posted by: ryhog 05:12 pm EST 03/13/21
In reply to: What old shows wouldn’t? - dramedy 02:07 pm EST 03/13/21

My comment was limited to the 21-22 season. I think there is a good chance one or more of Phantom, Chicago, and Hadestown do not reopen in that timeframe. I think any of your probables or leftovers might not. I think your bottom group will, at least 2 of them. (Again, I know nothing.)

Regarding not giving up the theatre, that's not entirely up to them. It is at least possible that some new show that the landlord holds in high regard could bounce a show that's not reopened if the specific theatre is pivotal to the deal. (See, e.g., MM vs. Beetlejuice, which WAS running lol)

I don't think we have a good read on where things will be in April in terms of theatrical tourism (meaning casual), and personally I just don't think the market will support all of these tourist shows. It would take a LOT (to the point of inconceivability) to get masses of locals and people like you to decide you need to see Chicago or Phantom or Aladdin etc etc again

we shall see
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