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re: A year?
Posted by: Singapore/Fling 02:51 pm EDT 03/14/21
In reply to: re: A year? - ryhog 02:49 pm EDT 03/14/21

If we reach herd immunity. I believe the science is unclear as to whether we can hit that goal with only 70% of the population vaccinated, which would reflect the large group of people who are currently saying that they will not get vaccinated.
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re: A year?
Posted by: BroadwayTonyJ 03:18 pm EDT 03/14/21
In reply to: re: A year? - Singapore/Fling 02:51 pm EDT 03/14/21

Fauci has been saying 70 to 90% to achieve herd immunity. If the magic number turns out to 90%, the fact that 50% of white Republican males are refusing vaccination and that a significant portion of the black population have understandable (based on history) concerns about the vaccine -- these two factors will make getting to 90% very tough. We'll have to wait and see what happens.
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re: A year?
Posted by: ryhog 04:31 pm EDT 03/14/21
In reply to: re: A year? - BroadwayTonyJ 03:18 pm EDT 03/14/21

From what I am reading, the goal is a penetration "approaching" herd immunity. From that point, the virus will eventually wane, the question being what the graph looks like. Also, as I have written before, once we have a good level of immunity, we start not to care either epidemiologically or personally about the idiots.

A couple of data points. First, an article in the Times the other day revealed that blacks are getting vaccinated with less resistance than had been feared in advance. The latino population is the larger challenge. Second, it's a funny thing about those white republican males in red states. It seems you have to watch what they do and not what they say. Although of course there are the true crazies but I don't think the Venn Diagram puts them in the circle with theatre-goer. And yes those vaccinated white men can still lie in the face of the data, just like their fearless leader, even though they will not lie in the face of danger. :-)
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