| As long as everyone's making predictions... | |
| Last Edit: ShowGoer 08:11 am EDT 03/15/21 | |
| Posted by: ShowGoer 08:09 am EDT 03/15/21 | |
| In reply to: re: Six - Back on Broadway commercial - manchurch03104 12:43 pm EDT 03/14/21 | |
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| ...I'll throw mine in the ring. I have almost no doubt Broadway will be nearly back to where it was by this time next year. That doesn't mean producers will be able to gouge people for $400-$500 premium tickets anytime soon, except on the most rare occasions (maybe if the Hugh Jackman revival is good, for example) – but I think most people are underestimating everyone's desire to get out and do things again, even if still wearing a mask. There's a reason all available tickets for the first Knicks games sold out within half an hour, or why NYC movie theaters re-opening 10 days ago single-handedly helped the movie biz bounce back to its best box office by far in over a year (and why movie studios are now moving the dates of some of their biggest summer releases UP, even earlier than they'd planned just a month or two ago). I'm a guy who realized by last April or May that Broadway would be closed for at least a year, even as others were calling me a Negative Nellie and eagerly & optimistically rescheduling their Music Man and Plaza Suite tickets for late last summer or early fall, so no one has yet accused me of being a Pollyanna... but even factoring in all the question marks – tourism, midtown business, Covid variants, etc. – I'd bet my life there'll be at least half a dozen shows up and running this autumn, and by spring 2022 nearly every theatre will be booked. It'll still be a different world, and the shows may not (and likely won't) be making the profit they were a year or two ago, and discounts will be plentiful for a good year or so... but if capping movie and sports attendance at 25% or whatever didn't keep AMC Cinemas and Madison Square Garden from re-opening, then some (justifiable) anxiety isn't going to be enough of a reason for producers to keep their shows on ice for another year or longer, once they get the all-clear to open Broadway houses at 100% capacity. |
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