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re: Variety: As COVID-19 Restrictions Start to Ease, What Will It Take for Broadway Shows to Reopen?
Posted by: ryhog 06:54 pm EDT 03/20/21
In reply to: re: Variety: As COVID-19 Restrictions Start to Ease, What Will It Take for Broadway Shows to Reopen? - hanon 06:15 pm EDT 03/20/21

I didn't really mean it as an analogy but more as an observation that folks around here don't seem mask averse in the way people in some other places apparently are.

Your perspective on whether enough people will be motivated to go to the theatre in a mask is certainly a valid one. All I can say is that there are producers prepared to bet against you on that. (And that too is no different than producers betting on shows that just about no one on this board thinks is a good idea.) I think there is no question that some people will not go back if there is a mask requirement but I also think that there are people (including me) who will. Early on in the pandemic I watched quite a few filmed shows and of course the zoom things. I tired of it long before many here did but I've made no secret over the years that I don't find filmed shows a palatable substitute or even "the same thing." I have said this a number of times over the months but I think some people envision a much more robust Fall '21 than is likely to materialize, and a good part of the reason is that the market for theatre is going to be reduced by a variety of facts including the masks, a more general reluctance to be amongst people after 18 months of staying away from them, and the absence of tourists in large measure. So as I have said, I expect only about a half dozen shows in the early months and I also expect the mask mandate will be gone before Spring '22. We will STILL not be back to anything approaching a full complement of shows. I saw what you wrote in another post and just to react to that a little. I never say never but producers are rarely motivated by the prospect of losing money out of the gate. We all know that most productions will end up losing money but not by design. This is another reason that we can expect a limited supply of shows, because the design would be that the reduced demand will be somewhat close to matched by it.
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Next: re: Variety: As COVID-19 Restrictions Start to Ease, What Will It Take for Broadway Shows to Reopen? - blue70 04:09 pm EDT 03/21/21
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