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re: Yes, I See Strides and Let's Not Forget Chloé Zhao
Posted by: Singapore/Fling 06:17 pm EDT 03/26/21
In reply to: re: Yes, I See Strides and Let's Not Forget Chloé Zhao - WaymanWong 03:29 pm EDT 03/26/21

Yes, the lack of some of the heavy hitters is definitely a factor in this year's nominations, though when we look at the films that got postponed, I think there are only a few that might have been serious contenders. It's notable that in the past 15 years, only two of the Best Picture winners - "Argo" and "Green Book" - came wholly from the major studios. The Oscars have been gravitating towards the "indies" for a while. (I'll link below to a great article in NY Mag today that covers all of this.)

Meanwhile, there are certainly plenty of white creatives who could have been nominated from the indie offerings who weren't, and we can presume that much of this year's diversity - I forgot to mention Riz Ahmed, who is British Pakistani, which I would consider Asian heritage - is due to the change in the membership, which will continue even when we have some of the major studio films back.

In terms of SAG, we can certainly debate, but it is generally accepted that the Best Ensemble award is their equivalent of Best Picture, which we see reflected in reporting from The Hollywood Reporter, Backstage, and Vulture, among others. You are right that there is often divergence between the film SAG gives that award to and who the Academy honors with Best Picture; as of 2019. the correlation was at 60%, and it has likely gone down since that figure precludes "Green Book", and only two of this year's Oscar nominees for Best Picture are also in the running for Best Ensemble, "Minari" and "Chicago 7", which both seem unlikely to unseat "Nomadland" for Best Picture.

I also was reminded today by NY Magazine/Vulture that Chloé Zhao receiving four Oscar nominations for a single film puts her in the rarefied company of Orson Welles and Warren Beatty (and my husband pointed out that Bong Joo-Ho should also be on that list, having won four Oscars last year... though Wikipedia only credits him with three wins, not counting Foreign Language Film... but they attribute that win to the country of South Korea, so who knows).
Link Who’s Really Winning This Year’s ‘Oddscars’? by Mark Harris
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