| In any other year, sure. | |
| Posted by: ShowGoer 06:54 pm EST 12/27/21 | |
| In reply to: re: Broadway cast recordings for COMPANY or SIX? - BroadwayTonyJ 11:38 am EST 12/27/21 | |
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| “ When I was in New York (Nov. 16 -- 21), Six was sold out and offering standing room so that's a good sign that the show is on track to recoup.” That would probably be true if not for what’s going on in the wired right now. In the long run you may be right, but for now I’d have to say “not necessarily”. My guess is that SIX is capitalized to recoup selling out its theater for between 10 and 12 months (just a guess) – but if they have a few months of slightly smaller houses (almost certainly what lies ahead in Jan-Feb even if not for Omicron), plus 1-2 weeks here and there of completely lost performances (as is happening right now), then instead of recouping by next fall if it sells out, that target likely gets pushed to sometime in early 2023 instead (assuming it sells out from, say, April through the rest of the calendar year). A useful comparison point for a small musical with 6 actors would be a small splashy but expensive play with 3 actors - as I’ve written elsewhere, “The Lehman Trilogy” was poised to almost certainly break even during its limited run in pre-Covid times. As things now stand though, it will now end its scheduled dates next week having only recouped close to 70% of its investment instead. (The corollary being, if Lehman had hypothetically been able to scrape through the winter, play through the awards season, and have another strong 3-4 months between March and June, it presumably might have broken even by the summer… instead of when they needed it to, which was now.) |
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