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re: In modern history, musicals have very low odds of a Best Picture win
Posted by: Chazwaza 04:01 am EDT 07/01/22
In reply to: In modern history, musicals have very low odds of a Best Picture win - WaymanWong 03:09 am EDT 07/01/22

It's also just not the kind of musical that the Oscars tend to go for... I can't really imagine a movie of it, no matter how spectacular it *might* be in this movie, making it more of an Oscar type movie musical. And I also think that dividing it into two thoroughly destroys any chance the movie or either of the 2 movies might have had at winning, and it may even have mucked up the chances of nominations. I can easily imagine them not wanting to nominate act 1 of a movie musical or act 2, when they might have nominated it as one movie.

But in the last several decades, even movies that won Best Musical didn't even have a real chance at an Oscar Best Picture, and many didn't even win a Golden Globe for Best Comedy or Musical (an absurdly outdated category -- a movie musical isn't automatically a comedy, they are musical comedies or dramas or both and they pick which ever category is most advantageous). Sweeney Todd, Into the Woods, Hairspray, Les Miserables, Nine, Dreamgirls, Moulin Rouge, West Side Story remake, In the Heights, Tick Tick Boom, Dear Evan Hansen, The Producers, Rent, Mamma Mia, Jersey Boys, Phantom of the Opera, Evita... etc... Even when they do a decent job with them, they don't stand a chance and often aren't nominated, except Chicago.
Often this is because of how they're made. I can imagine a Sam Mendes or Stephen Spielberg Sweeney Todd (both had been in the works at some point) that would have been a real oscar contender.
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