Tony Predictions: Do you need to see a show or performance to predict its chances of winning?
Posted by: WWriter 12:05 am EDT 06/13/24

If I were voting for the Tonys, I would feel obligated--and pleased!--to see every nominee. But, it seems to me, predicting winners does not require seeing every show. I was thinking of this while making my predictions for this year, and I was wondering what other people thought.

For example, I did see both Jessica Lange and Sarah Paulson, but that didn't help me make a prediction at all. Both were excellent! I imagine the Tony voters considered other factors (consciously or unconsciously): Lange's long wonderful career, Paulson's strong roots in theatre, who was friendlier at lunch, who seems to be a nicer person, etc.

Similarly, I haven't yet seen Stereophonic. (I had a ticket at Playwright's, but was ill and missed it.) Nevertheless, I have no problem predicting that it will win Best Play this year.

This reminds me of Diane on Cheers getting involved in a football pool, and winning. When asked how she made her choices, she said things along the lines of "A bear against a dolphin? Come on, it's not even a fair fight."
Link Tony Predictions on Show Showdown
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